Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.139693 15.046363 17.147155 19.635913 22.507020 25.719058 29.590345
2025-11-02 10.356782 12.782654 15.671465 19.373984 24.006620 29.628702 36.995399
2025-11-09 8.726651 11.357021 14.666855 19.154395 25.106889 32.768913 43.439722
2025-11-16 7.552311 10.261928 13.828266 18.891835 25.939526 35.464689 49.421519
2025-11-23 6.612568 9.323864 13.033084 18.513632 26.466868 37.682398 54.863423
2025-11-30 6.216419 9.068056 13.110387 19.306865 28.653527 42.365017 64.260410
2025-12-07 5.748507 8.645148 12.884634 19.602743 30.097441 46.055838 72.524020
2025-12-14 5.268084 8.145833 12.482315 19.566257 30.994182 48.955985 79.810140
2025-12-21 4.822477 7.650750 12.029289 19.386710 31.616657 51.441920 86.634765
2025-12-28 4.622949 7.520456 12.126184 20.082658 33.703785 56.467132 98.211451
2026-01-04 4.400895 7.329488 12.101414 20.562675 35.456274 61.073923 109.525835
2026-01-11 4.236403 7.216700 12.190042 21.232997 37.584254 66.506211 122.875833
2026-01-18 3.867505 6.727457 11.606592 20.687964 37.525018 68.093457 129.371845
2026-01-25 3.580004 6.355542 11.193866 20.407474 37.914231 70.524018 137.732390
2026-02-01 3.329607 6.027585 10.829024 20.175626 38.360347 73.082525 146.593064
2026-02-08 3.097372 5.712737 10.460146 19.898342 38.683349 75.417159 155.229352
2026-02-15 2.870855 5.389648 10.048623 19.498949 38.720932 77.177076 162.837179
2026-02-22 2.821194 5.397538 10.259732 20.336651 41.316054 84.330720 182.750138
2026-03-01 2.710278 5.277175 10.212895 20.649140 42.854040 89.438216 198.740637
2026-03-08 2.567862 5.083038 10.005042 20.610605 43.643661 93.025930 211.692442
2026-03-15 2.420481 4.867396 9.736950 20.420977 44.086031 95.893795 223.286451
2026-03-22 2.377845 4.862477 9.896341 21.156027 46.626792 103.648463 247.368380
2026-03-29 2.314309 4.808808 9.949720 21.663055 48.700087 110.541862 270.161616